Brazil’s Lula and Bolsonaro about even ahead of election run-off: Poll
News Source
•Sat, 24 Oct 2026 15:36:38 +0000
📰 What Happened
A new poll puts Brazil's presidential run-off almost level on the eve of Sunday's vote. Senator Flavio Bolsonaro had 46.3 percent and President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva had 45 percent. The gap is inside the poll's 2.2 point margin of error.
The CNT/MDA survey questioned 2,032 people between October 21 and 23. It came a day after the last televised debate, where the two argued about the economy, crime and the cost of living. In the first round on October 4, Bolsonaro led 47 to 45.
🔍 The Backstory
Lula, a former factory worker, led Brazil from 2003 to 2010 and returned to office in 2023. Flavio Bolsonaro is a senator and the eldest son of former president Jair Bolsonaro, who was barred from running for office until 2030.
Brazil is deeply split. Some voters credit Lula for lifting millions out of poverty. Others back the Bolsonaro family's tough talk on crime. Turnout and late shifts often decide close run-offs.
🎯 Why It Matters
Brazil is the biggest economy in Latin America. Its next president will shape taxes, jobs and how fast the Amazon is protected.
A new poll puts Brazil's presidential run-off almost level on the eve of Sunday's vote. Senator Flavio Bolsonaro had 46.3 percent and President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva had 45 percent. The gap is inside the poll's 2.2 point margin of error.
The CNT/MDA survey questioned 2,032 people between October 21 and 23. It came a day after the last televised debate, where the two argued about the economy, crime and the cost of living. In the first round on October 4, Bolsonaro led 47 to 45.
Lula, a former factory worker, led Brazil from 2003 to 2010 and returned to office in 2023. Flavio Bolsonaro is a senator and the eldest son of former president Jair Bolsonaro, who was barred from running for office until 2030.
Brazil is deeply split. Some voters credit Lula for lifting millions out of poverty. Others back the Bolsonaro family's tough talk on crime. Turnout and late shifts often decide close run-offs.
Brazil is the biggest economy in Latin America. Its next president will shape taxes, jobs and how fast the Amazon is protected.